GRID

FORECAST

Predictor

Independent fan project. Grid Forecast is unofficial and not affiliated with Formula 1, FIA, teams, drivers or broadcasters.

Simulation / 10,000 modeled outcomes

Championship predictor

Recalculate the remaining 17 rounds using current standings plus modeled form, pace and reliability signals. The interface remains independent from the data-source adapter.

SNAPData source
Andrea Kimi AntonelliCurrent leader
24%Title probability

Races modeled

17

Outcome sample

10K

Signal inputs

06

Model revision

01

Driver championship

Projected title probability
01

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Mercedes

24% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 410Best case 512Worst case 257
02

George Russell

Mercedes

16% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 358Best case 460Worst case 205
03

Charles Leclerc

Ferrari

14% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 347Best case 449Worst case 194
04

Lewis Hamilton

Ferrari

12% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 334Best case 436Worst case 181
05

Lando Norris

McLaren

11% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 322Best case 424Worst case 169
What this meansTitle chance is the share of 10,000 modeled seasons won. Season total, best and worst case show projected final season points — not remaining points.

Constructor championship

Projected title probability
01

Mercedes

24% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 693Best case 863Worst case 438
02

Ferrari

17% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 610Best case 780Worst case 355
03

McLaren

13% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 557Best case 727Worst case 302
04

Red Bull

9% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 496Best case 666Worst case 241
05

Alpine F1 Team

7% title chance

Projected final season points

Season total 462Best case 632Worst case 207
What this meansTitle chance is the share of 10,000 modeled seasons won. Season total, best and worst case show projected final season points — not remaining points.